Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). RELATED:10 golfers who will make you money in the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Im surprised were still getting 40-1 on Detry after his run of really good golf. Mayo: Matt Kuchar (50-1, DraftKings) BACK to the scene of the crime from Kuch. Finishing T-50 in Phoenix and T-45 in Los Angeles are certainly not bad results, but they will look bad compared to the high standards that Kim has provided us in his first nine months on tour. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Honda Classic. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational First Round Leader Picks: Rickie Fowler Time! Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. Shelton earned a T-20 at Pebble Beach, which marked his third top-20 finish in his past five starts. Hes teed it up eight times and has earned just one top 25 in a full-field eventa T-12 at the Sony Open. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. Back the 2017 Open Championship winner to triumph at +3000 with Caesars Sportsbook. All rights reserved. Hes had the best short game of anyone in this field over the past 50 rounds, so that should no longer be a concern. Matchup Results from the Bermuda Championship: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Rodgers (-125) over S.H. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. These odds, in a tournament where we typically see a few Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Collin Morikawa (16-1, FanDuel) El Camaleon should suit Morikawa very well. He added another 2.10 around-the-green and still lost 1.16 strokes from tee-to-green. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. The 29-year-old pulled out in the second round of the Sentry with a sore back but feels ready to return. The 2023 calendar year hasnt started the way Wise would have liked, and hell enter this week coming off back-to-back missed cuts. Yes, hes first in SG/total. Kapalua Plantation Course 4. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. List is the most on-brand golfer on tour, rarely doing anything outside his DNA. See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. With a pair of early top 10s among six paydays, the 41-year-old Aussie is an impressive 75th in the FedExCup. This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's The Open Championship in this week's edition of the Power Rankings. For more fantasy, check out Rookie Ranking , Qualifiers and Reshuffle. At $9,900, this is the most expensive Chris Kirk has been on DraftKings since the 2021 Zurich Classic ($10,100)a team event. Kuchar has also gained strokes in all three tee-to-green stats in both starts this season but has uncharacteristically lost strokes putting. His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. He is playing well against elite fields and has proven that he can contend and win in any tournament he enters. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldricks insight into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned plays has provided an invaluable edge for readers when it comes to DFS GPPs. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be Mayo: Adam Long (-110) over J.J. Spaun (DraftKings) Long hasnt had much juice recently but he is the prototype for a solid result at Mayakoba. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. Recent form, plus some strong vibes at El Camaleon, have me leaning with him over the Bermuda champ. Immaculate; inching back to peak levels. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. The good news is that List has gained strokes putting in three of his five trips to Bay Hill, so heres hoping he can unlock those feels on the greens this week. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis. 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am First Round Leader Picks: Does Matthew NeSmith Still Own Pebble Beach? Millions in Winnings and Counting. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Preview: Can Viktor Hovland Put It All Together? Every year, theres a contingent of native and resident Southeasterners who find a return to bermuda greens as comfortable as sliding on a favorite T-shirt. The Stokastic 2022-2023 NBA DFS Content Schedule, Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings & Underdog Fantasy, Jock MKT NBA DFS IPO Pricing/Projections FREE, Expert Golf Betting Tool | Prop Bet Projections, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results, Stokastics Camping World Series Projections, F1 DFS Projections for DraftKings Formula One Fantasy Racing, NASCAR Camping World Series Ownership Projections, NASCAR Top Drivers Tool Simulation Probabilities, How to Play DraftKings F1 DFS: Formula 1 Fantasy Racing Advice & How To Win Tournaments, CSGO Ownership Projections for DraftKings, The Stokastic Podcast Network Directory, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Podcast All Sports, Betting U College Sports Betting Podcast, Sports Betting 101: Bet Types Part II (FREE). Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. Take me to the Rocket League category page! Luke List Anytime (every time?) Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. Only Rory McIlroy has gained more strokes at Bay Hill than Fitzpatrick, in as many rounds, over the past eight years. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. Thatll be very useful around Torrey Pines this week. Hes one of the most experienced golfers in the field at PGA National, where hes played 10 times, making the cut in all but one. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Weather Report: Conditions to Affect Play? Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official elevated status and a $20 million purse. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. Hes accomplished both on and around the greens, which gives him the highest upside and most well-rounded golfer teeing it up. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for The model also included J.T. Heres what we know: Hes likely to be a great ball-striker, like he was at Riviera, where he gained 13 strokes in the ball-striking categories, and he has gained in 19 of his past 22 measured starts. Were back with another edition of PGA Poston +5000Sahith Theegala +5000Adam Hadwin +5000Andrew Putnam +5500K.H. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. While that sounds great, its likely unsustainable. Rare company, to say the least. Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. McClure has also locked in a slew of other prop bets for the the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, including a long shot listed at 100-1 to win it all. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. Gdula: Tony Finau (-118) over Aaron Wise (FanDuel) Finau is by far the best in the field over the past 20 rounds, and even using past-year data with recency adjustments, my head-to-head model thinks Finau should be around -135 in this matchup over Wise. Jon Rahm (8/1) Keyur Khamar. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Rahm, who won this tournament in 2018 and rallied for victory in his last outing at the Sentry, is the 11-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook's latest The American Express 2023 odds. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. Kim); Powers: 1 for 1 (Detry (+110) over McCarthy); Alldrick: 1 for 1 (Detry (-125) over Meronk; Mayo: 0 for 1; Gdula: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 5-1-0 (up 3.8 units); Gehman: 4-2-0 (up 1.65 units); Caddie: 3-3-0 (down 0.1 units); Alldrick: 4-2-0 (up 1.38 units); Powers: 2-4-0 (down 1.85 units); Mayo: 1-4-0 (down 3.1 units); Gdula: 0-5-1 (down 5 units). Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. . Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. Hes top 10 in driving accuracy over the past year, according to datagolf, and hes second in SG/approach in that span, as well. Gehman: Jason Day (-120) over K.H. Keep it social. His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. In a memo to PGA Tour members sent to players Wednesday, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan made the news Prizepicks + Stokastic Promo Get a Free Month! Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Hes now giving strokes back to the field on the putting surfaces in seven of his past nine measured starts. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-55, 1, 1), 2. Gdula: Maverick McNealy (26-1, FanDuel) I cant suggest fading anyone at 18-1 or shorter. Min Woo Lee ($9,400 DraftKings | $11,000 FanDuel). Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. On paper, El Camaleon should be an excellent course for him except its been horrible there. Montgomerys putter has cooled off, and hes been exposed a bit in the elevated events. Those serve as his only two top-15 finishes over his past 14 starts. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. Its his fifth payday in as many starts in 2023 but first start in three weeks. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay. The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Its a stat line that is full of red flags. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. Vegas has been impressive since returning to action from offseason shoulder surgery. Sure, many factors contribute to success and not all performers are defined by them, but the 2023 body of evidence already includes the likes of Eric Cole (P2), Ben Martin (T5) and Carson Young (T29), each of whom with attention-getting performances at PGA National last week. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? He gained more than 14 strokes from tee-to-green in those eight rounds but lost over eight strokes with his putter. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Day, a 12-time PGA Tour winner, has three straight top-10 finishes and has yet to finish worse than 18th place in 2023. But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outright plays, including hitting Hudson Swafford (250-1) at last year's The American Express. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Russell Knox (+750, DraftKings) Knox comes into this event ranked 18th in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week so its not surprising to see that he already has three top-10 finishes to his name here at El Camaleon. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125).
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