Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. These are general election results for the years listed. I think it's the state to watch. So how does all that look visually? All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). Special elections, if any, are excluded. These are general election results for the years listed. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. It is not a blue state or a red state. Tennessee. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. The. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. (PA, GA, MI)". Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Dec. 10, 2020. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. All Rights Reserved. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. You have entered an incorrect email address! 10. Thats a point that they made. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. VOA explains. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote This election cycle, according to Politico, the state is leaning slightly blue. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. But registration figures vary greatly by county. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Is Missouri a red state? FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. But Pennsylvania is now red. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. In September, just eight states had. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Map of election results. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. And West Virginia is losing. Special elections, if any, are excluded. But I've got news for them, too. You have to beware with these reports, though. Same caution about borders applies. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S.
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